Andy Murray -Marat Safin

Andy Murray -Marat Safin : Murray 2-0@1.75 centrebet

Not much to say about Safin in the last years, he has become a top 50 almost mediocre player. Murray on the other hand is rising his potential year by year, and I predict he will finish in to 8 this season. Had an injury last season that kept him away for 2 months , but has completely recovered and is now ready to win. Watched his game against hot Wawrinka 3 days ago and he was great. His service was always strong, always there when he needed it.Andy showed he has grown up in the last period and seems to think better every ball.He always waited for Stan's mistake and always knew how to transform defensive into offensive.Has a great forehand but still makes a lot of unfforced errors.
This tournament is only demonstrative , but Murray always performed well in this type or tournaments, even defeating Murray last year here, in two sets.
Don't know how Safin prepared for the new season , but I think he doesn't stand a chance in front of the rising star Murray.

Murray 2-0@1.75 centrebet 8/10

Michael Llondra - Hyung Taik Lee

Michael Llondra - Hyung Taik Lee : Lee@2 sportingbet

Odds changed for this game since yesterday , Llondra being now considered the favourite. I think he is a little bit overrated , since his Adelaide victory means only a great win against Nieminen, and a win agasint Simon. He deserves his merit , but I still think the odds are set to low for him , putting to much importance to his late succes.
Lee has done a great job in the past agaisnt service volley players like Llondra, and has also a positive record agasint left hand players on hard court. I always appreciated Lee because we is hard working and never gives up. Has a strong service , and is decent in long rallies.
They have mever met again.

I'll stick to my intuition and will choose Lee to win this @2 at sportingbet

Carlos Moya - Stefan Koubek

Carlos Moya - Stefan Koubek :Koubek +3.5 game handicap @1.85 gamebookers

Moya had an extremely demanding game against Nadal 2 days ago 7-6 6-7 6-7 , and this could be a disadvantage on this side. It's true he had 3 match points agaisnt the allmighty Nadal , but he proved "broken " against Youzhny loosing 6-0 6-1.
Koubek lost in two sets against Ljubicic last week, in the first round , and had plenty of time to recover and prepare this game.

They have met 6 times, 3-3 head to head score, with the last 2 meetings won by Koubek , both of hard court.Even though he has a good overall record against lefties 33-17, he was 1-3 last season, defeating only Verdasco one time.

Moya lost one set last week against Koudriavtsev , who isn't even in top 250.
I think the almost 4 hours encounter agaisnt Nadal , along with his age shoud give Koubek the advantage.

I will not choose the victory , but will be more carefull , Koubek +3.5 game handicap@1.85 gamebokers

Mardy Fish -Gilles Simon

Mardy Fish - Gilles Simon :Fish 2-0@ 2.50 stanjames

First pick from Sydney. We have Fish , who's game is very well suited to hard, and Simon who can be described as a claycourter.

Fish already played 4 single games this season at Hopman, only loosing hard to Djokovic in a 3 set thriller 6-2 6-7(4) 7-6(4) .Is 15-9 on hard courts last season , and 6-3 here at Sydney. Has a a trong service , that helps him win easy points, and should make the difference.

Simon lost in the first round at Adelaide 7-3 6-3 in front of Llondra . Only managed to reach the second round at a tournament on hard court 2 times in this last 10 tournaments he participated in.He is 7-9 on hard court last season. His poor performances on hard courts are comming from the fact that he has a weak service , his game beeing more suited for clay where he is more solid from the baseline, and is strong in long rallies.

If everything goes normal , Fish should win easily, only being concerned if he will drop a set.
The odds are very good, so I choose

Fish 2-0@2.50 stanjames

Stanislas Wawrinka - Ivan Ljubicic

Stanislas Wawrinka - Ivan Ljubicic:Wawrinka@2.2 sportingbet

Ljubicic is on the right track to exit top 20 this year if he continues playing like he did in the second part of the 2007 season . The serve that helped him winning so many cheep points , and gave him the edge in so many encounters seems not to function at the same level anymore. Had a 68% on his first serve in front of Philipp Kohlschreiber, and gave him 6 break points opportunities. The difference was made on the second serve where Kohlschreiber only managed to win 39% of the points .

Wawrinka on the other hand reached 87% first serve points won , and 75% on his second serve against Calleri , defeating him 6-3 6-0. He seems to be progressing from match to match, has great serving abilities and an extraordinary backhand.

Even if Doha is one of Ljubicic's favourite tournaments, reaching the finals here 3 times in the last year, even if hed to head record is 3-0 for Ljubicic , I rate this as a 50-50 match , and I give the edge to Wawrinaka

Juan Martin Del Potro –Michael Russel

Juan Martin Del Potro –Michael Russel : Del Potro 2-0@1.70 fonbet

There isn’t much to say here, the young Del Potro proved last season that he has a great potential , and I strongly consider this year he will confirm this.

Russel plays mainly in challengers and when he rises to the atp level he has great difficulties winning matches.
They have met one time in octomber 2007 on carpet, but Russel has withdrawn at the score 5-2 for Del Potro.
Juan performes great on hard, having a great serve to make his points easier. I have seen Russel play only once, but on clay and he was far from impressive.
Just to make a point here , Russel’s last 2 matches in the season were lost in front of one top 300+ player , and another top500+ player. He also suffered from an injury at the end of the season and I don’t know how well he recovered.

Juan Martin Del Potro to win 2-0 @1.70 fonbet

Pavel Andrei. - Schüttler Rainer

Pavel Andrei. - Schüttler Rainer :Pavel @1.83 stanjames.

Doha tournament , with prizes of 1mil$+. A battle between two “ oldies but goldies” , Pavel at probably his last season in the atp tour and Shuttler, aged 31.

Pavel has a 3-0 head to head record against the german , with a victory on clay , carpet and hard. Shuttler was given a wildcard to apper here, since he was ranked 88 in last season.
Pavel is one of the player best known by me, since I have watched almost all his recent years games. He still has power and accuracy , but his age stops him from performing at the same level all match long.

Shuttler has finished well the year , winning the Kuala Lumpur Ch Mayer on the road. All other players were top 200+ ranked.
Pavel on the other hand had some decent performances at the end of the season, defeating Vligen , but loosing with a great fight against Tursunov and Baghdatis, winning 1 set.

I trust my coutryman , and favour him to win.

Pavel@1.83 stanjames

Florian Mayer – Misha Zverev

Florian Mayer – Misha Zverev :Zverev @ 1.94 pinnacle

They have never met before, and finished the year in 2 different types . Zverev winning Dnrpropetrovsk Ch , defeating on the way Turnsunov , Canas and Becker.

Mayer on the other hand lost 8 out of his last 10 games of the season , recording 6 tournaments in a row where ho lost from the first round . He is more of a clay player, all his impressive results were on this surface . Has an overall negative record on hard court 10-11 in the last year. Was here at Adelaide in the last 3 year but never had any notable victory.

Zverev although played more at challenger level , managed some good results and I think this year he will finish high in the rankings. Has a very strong service that will cause Mayer a lot of problems . Misha is left hander and this will cause Mayer further problems, having a 1-3 record against lefties in 2007.

It won’t be easy , but I feel Zverev will win.

Zverev@1.94 pinnacle

Arnaud Clement(FRA) VS Juan Ignacio Chela(ARG)

Arnaud Clement(FRA) VS Juan Ignacio Chela(ARG) :Chela@1.75 gamebookers

Not the best choice to bet at the start of the season , but I find value in Chela against all who favour Clement. Chela's game even if more suited to clay, is based on andurance.And this should trouble Clement.During all his game Chele seems to wait for the opponent's mistake and this is very irritating. Clement will not wait and will try to hit winners but will make to much unfforced errors.

Hopman Cup isn’t taken to serious by the players but the prizes are decent , aprox 1 mil. This should add some motivation.
Even if Chela finished on a downtrend last year, loosing badly to almost everyone, Clement impressed only on grass from my point of view.
I expect a well balanced match, but I fancy Chela to overcome Clement, with the possibility of making it into a tie break.
Never played together.I should add that Clement has a positive record on indoor hard , meanwhile Chela is only 11-14 in his last 25 matches

Chela to win @1.75 gamebookers

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Bilant ATP Lyon / Basel / ST.Petersburg

Incepe un nou sezon , asa ca trebuie sa inchei bilantul:

Bilant ATP Lyon / Basel / ST.Petersburg

1.Richard GasQUET -Jo Wilfred Tsonga :Tsonga +3.5 game handicap@1.85 won + 8.5
2.Marcos Baghdathis -Augustin Calleri :Calleri @2.4 lost -10
3.Philipp Kohlschreiber - Mikhail Youzhny : Kohlschreiber @2.35 void
4.Marcos Baghdatis - Paul Henri Mathieu :Baghdatis@2.05 won + 10.5
5.Paul Henri Mathieu – Mario Ancic :Ancic@1.75 won + 7.5
6.Fernando Verdasco –Ivo Karlovic : Verdasco@2.7 lost -10
7.Ivan Ljublicic -Marcos Baghdatis :Baghdatis@1.59 won +5.9
8.Stanislas Wawrinka -Juan Ignacio Chela :Wawrinka 2-0@2.2 won + 12

total : 8 meciuri , 5 castigate, 2 pierdute , 1 void.
cota medie:1.85
unitati mizate:80
unitati castigate:104.4
profit net : +24.4
yield:30.4 %

Bilant total septembrie- octombrie 2007

unitati profit :+111.03
Yield: 23.1 %

Record for september -octomber 2007
profit :+111.03
Yield: 23.1 %