Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Roger Federer - James Blake


Roger Federer - James Blake :Will Roger Federer (SUI) serve more than 20 aces? NO@1.79

Very nice bet , involving Federer and Blake. I've made a little research work and found something interesting. Even though Federer leads 7-0 the head to head record, and lost only one set from 19 played, he never served more than 11 aces in a match agasint Blake.Federer served an average of 7.5 aces per match , in 3 out of 5 sets, with Blake. Without doubt , Federer will have an easy match against Blake, and even if Blake manages to get one set, the margin will be enough. This is more a statistical bet, but even if we take into consideration the last matches, Federer served only 68 aces in 4 games, including a 5set thriller against Tipsarevic.Let's take a look of the serve statistics for Federer so far: 11 against Berdych,11 against Hartfield and 39 agaisnt Tipsarevic!!!!But Tipsarevic can't even be said to be a decent returner.
Blake faced 6 aces from Cilic,4 from Grosjean,2 from Russel and 6 from Massu.
I have big confidence in this, going maximum stake.

Will Roger Federer (SUI) serve more than 20 aces? NO@1.79

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